How Does Inflation Affect the Property Market?

How Does Inflation Affect the Property Market?

The latest Consumer Prices Index (CPI) released by the Office for National Statistics revealed that inflation increased from 1.7% in September to 2.3% in October.

How exactly does inflation impact the property market?

There is a link. But it is not quite as simple as it might seem.

When inflation rises or falls, it does not necessarily mean that house prices are rising or falling. The CPI, the main measure of inflation in the UK, does not include house prices or mortgage costs – although it does include rents. 

But rising inflation puts up the price of almost everything we buy and can affect house prices indirectly.

If people have less disposable income, they may be less likely to move house. Or they may make lower offers if they do. That can exert downward pressure on house prices. The reverse can also happen when inflation falls.

Inflation can also affect the interest rate, and so impact mortgage payments.

The Bank of England (BofE) uses the interest rate to try and keep inflation under their 2% target. When inflation rises, the BofE may raise the interest rate (or bank rate as it is known) to try to bring inflation down. And then reduce it if inflation starts to fall. Mortgage lenders often base their mortgage rates on the current bank rate.

So, when inflation rises, it usually means mortgages become more expensive. That could serve as a check on property prices. 

When inflation falls – as it has done in recent months before October’s rise – it ought to mean that mortgages become cheaper. That, alongside the fact that (hopefully) we all have a little more disposable income, could work to push house prices up.

So far as landlords and tenants are concerned, inflation almost always pushes up rents. 

While rising rents are not good for tenants, they can benefit landlords directly. Landlords should find they can earn more rent. That should improve their rental yields, too.

One last important point: Over the long term, property prices usually rise ahead of inflation. 

A 2020 report from property experts Avison Young said that across all 5-year rolling periods since 1985, property investors beat inflation around 85% of the time.

So, whether you are an owner-occupier, landlord, or investor, property tends to be an excellent hedge against inflation.

A well-priced, well-presented property should always find a buyer, whatever happens with inflation. 

If you’re considering selling or investing, we will be delighted to advise you and help you make fully informed decisions.




Get in touch with us

Some landlords will have to change the way they file their tax returns from April next year. Read on to find out if you will be affected.

Second Hand September is a campaign originally set up by a national charity to encourage people to shop for second hand clothing. We’ve come up with our own take on it with some great ideas that are easy to try.

First-time buyers have always been key drivers of the housing market. Their choices don’t just shape the property landscape today – they also hint at where things might head tomorrow.

It's natural to want the best possible price for your home, but sometimes, an inflated valuation can do more harm than good. Let's explore why setting the right price from the start is crucial for a successful sale.